Market research

Which stats are important for specific types of bets?

Numbers don’t lie, as they say, and betting is definitely a game of numbers. With today’s technology, we can easily keep track of all the statistical aspects of a football game – from the number of passes completed, to tackles, shots on target, and distances covered by each player. But which of them are the most relevant ones? Learn more with STATSCORE!

Who’s going to win? Let’s check the H2H and recent form!

Recent form and head-to-head comparison of the teams are one of the key statistical elements that fans are looking for before the game starts. They want to know as much as possible about the current abilities of the teams, and to review the history of their previous clashes in order to make responsible predictions on the outcome.

If we take a look at the H2H comparison of the upcoming (23/01/2020) Premier League match between Wolverhampton and Liverpool, we will see that the Reds have won all of their last Premier League matches, and of course, occupy the first position in the table. The Wolves’ form is certainly weaker, with only one of the last six games won. In fact, Liverpool’s form is estimated to be 100%, while the Wolves’ – 33%.

However, when we look more deeply into the H2H and recent form stats, we will see that Wolverhampton may not be the easiest opponent for the Jürgen Klopp’s team.

The Reds’ last victories over the Wolves were of small margins (1:0 and 2:0), and almost exactly a year ago, in January 2019, the Wolves were able to beat them 2:1 in the FA Cup. Of the 13 games played between these teams since 2004, 8 were won by the Reds, and 3 by the Wolves. You might start to think that though Liverpool seems unstoppable, Wolverhampton is certainly among the teams that could make some surprise!

The H2H comparisons provide much more data than that – detailed winning and losing streaks, numbers of goals scored in games between the teams involved, etc. This type of data is especially relevant for the most common type of bets, which is the so-called 1X2, or three-way bet.

It’s no wonder that bookmakers are doing their best to provide their users with the most relevant pre-game stats, as it is one of the crucial elements that players are looking for in order to decide on the most likely bet.

It’s goals, obviously!

It’s not rocket science. The average numbers of goals scored (and lost) by a team is a strong indicator of how successful their next performance might be. Though there are many exceptions to this rule, as it is absolutely possible that a very successful team keeps winning with scores like 1:0 and 2:1, while a much weaker one is able to pull a 5:0 victory once in a while, and then keep losing their games 0:1 – in the long run the more goal-scoring teams tend to win more games.

And apart form the 1X2 bets, the data about goal-scoring capabilities of the teams is important for other popular types of bets – such as the BTTS (both teams to score) and the under/over bets.

Looking at the Manchester City stats, we will see that they are a high-scoring team, they net 2,7 goals per game this season! Would it be reasonable to bet that they will score over 1.5 or over 2.5 goals in their next game? It surely is quite possible!

Betting on BTTS seems a bit more tricky, as the best (most goal-scoring) teams tend to concede few goals. Yet, digging deeply into stats, players can find some interesting trends. For example, derby matches tend to produce more goals that it could be expected from the involved teams’ averages.

When it comes to goal scoring, there’s of course another type of bets, namely those on a given player scoring a goal. Here we’ll have a different spectrum of stats, those related to the performances, form, and abilities of that very player. So yes… seems that Ronaldo and Messi are still to scoring for some time.

A corner kick or a throw-in? Something for the lucky guys!

Needless to say, betting is not just about understanding data (although it’s can’t exist without it!), some people just want to try their luck!

And for those who feel really lucky, bookmakers will always have something special in store.

Number of red cards? Any penalties? What will happen first – a corner kick or a throw-in?

Those bets, entertaining and engaging as they might be, sure fall more into the area of sheer chance than detailed analysis!

Let’s stay in touch

Sign up for our newsletter to stay updated with the latest trends, and key developments in the world of sports data and betting. You can do it by filling the form below.

PROCESSING OF THE DATA

Pursuant to Article 13.1–13.2 of Regulation (EU) 2016/679 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 27 April 2016 on the protection of natural persons with regard to the processing of personal data and on the free movement of such data, and repealing Directive 95/46/EC (“GDPR”), we would like to inform you as follows:
1) STATSCORE Sp. z o.o. with its registered office in Katowice 40-012 at ul. Dworcowa 2 is the controller of your personal data.
2) Your personal data will be processed for the purposes of the product trial process – in accordance with Article 6.1(a)–(b) of the GDPR.
3) Furnishing the personal data requested by STATSCORE about yourself is voluntary.
4) Your personal data will be retained for the duration of the Product development term but for no less than the retention period required under the law.
5) Your personal data will not be subject to automated decision-making or profiling.
6) You have the right to access the personal data held about you and to have your data rectified or erased or to restrict or to object to the processing as well as the right to data portability. If your personal data is processed under Article 6.1(a) of the GDPR (i.e. processed on the basis of the consent you have given to the processing), you may withdraw your consent at any time without any impact on the lawfulness of the processing carried out before your consent was withdrawn.
7) You may lodge a complaint in respect of the processing of the above data to the President of the Office for Personal Data Protection (PUODO).